Good article thank you. A conflict is coming for sure but need not be a shooting war for China to achieve its aims. Beijing is watching what is going on in Ukraine carefully.

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... "Xi Jinping on the other hand is carefully counting the artillery shells and Javelin missiles we have expanded in our support of Ukrainian freedom. Other countries in NATO are arming up but they are also shipping munitions to Ukraine at an alarming rate while China is expanding its stockpiles. One would almost suspect that the resources saved in shutting down the Chinese economy due to zero-COVID policies are being diverted to a war economy behind the scenes."

https://medium.com/politically-speaking/why-taiwans-fate-is-tied-to-ukraine-s-9f5c2f3b52be