I wrote on Medium December 2021 that Russia will invade Ukraine in Feb. 2022.
It was obvious that Russia would not leave Crimea and could not let Ukraine join NATO or be a missile base for them. Putin warned Russia will not tolerate it and had been quietly getting ready for a kinetic conflict since 2014.
I recently wrote :
"China can not afford to have Russia fail in Ukraine. If a settlement is not reached that gives Russia some territory in Donbas and Luhansk and allows it to keep Crimea, this war will drag on and China will first covertly and then, depending on the future of the hostilities, openly support Russia."
Feel free to read the whole article.
--
Now Anthony Blinken is warning China is likely to get more involved - see below.
https://news.yahoo.com/china-may-russia-weapons-ukraine-101340374.html
--
From the article "Why Taiwan's fate is tied to Ukraine."
There are 3 outcomes to this conflict a Russian win, long shooting stalemate or...
"Ukraine wins. In this context, it would mean a routing and disintegration of the Russian army and perhaps regime change in Moscow. Will Xi Jinping just sit idly by while the U.S. perhaps replaces but at the very least, humiliates another leader who in western parlance is a fellow “communist”?
Will he let the U.S. dictate the terms of a Russian capitulation? The terms which will surely seize the only thing that Russia will be forced to offer - its oil, gas and mineral wealth?
More importantly will Xi Jinping allow the U.S. (and NATO) complete its encirclement of China by establishing control over Russia and its resources as well as the string of bases it already has along the Pacific Rim?
It doesn’t seem likely.
China will never allow this and will lend materiel, economic, and logistical support for Russia, as well as becoming more belligerent against Taiwan to take the pressure off."
--
This is a global fossil fuel war and China needs Russia's oil and gas just as much as China needs to export goods to the West. China will also not tolerate U.S. hegemony much longer.
Heaven help us, the lunatics are in charge.
